Correlation Analysis
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
META vs EL
-0.927
Very strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗META
Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.
Market cap 1.4T
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
↗EL
Estée Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (49% of fiscal 2025 sales), makeup (29%), fragrance (17%), and hair care and others (5%). Top-selling brands include Estée Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 31% of revenue from the Americas, 37% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 32% from Asia-Pacific. Estée Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.
Market cap 25.7B · 57,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
EL leads META by 6 days
EL tends to move before META.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.928 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.098
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.432
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.517
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
85.9%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,107
Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.935, -0.918]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,107 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,107
1,254
Normalized
1,107
1,254
Prepared
1,107
1,254
Aligned
1,107
1,107
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
147
A: 0 / B: 147
Series A
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META
Market cap 1.4T
Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared
Series B
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
EL
Market cap 25.7B · 57,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.3445
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
300.1310
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
META
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.979
PCEC96
PCEC96 · 52 data points
Lowest
-0.939
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,107 data points
EL
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
Highest
-0.029
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.912
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-el-daily-20260408-9583dl