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Correlation Analysis

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs CME Group Inc.

META vs CME

+0.728

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.

Market cap 1.4T

CME logo

CME Group Inc.

CME

Based in Chicago, CME Group operates exchanges giving investors, suppliers, and businesses the ability to trade futures and derivatives based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign currencies, energy, metals, and commodities. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange was founded in 1898 and in 2002 completed its IPO. Since then, CME Group has consolidated parts of the industry by merging with crosstown rival CBOT Holdings in 2007 before acquiring Nymex Holdings in 2008 and NEX in 2018. In addition, the company has a 27% stake in S&P Dow Jones Indexes, making the Chicago Mercantile Exchange the exclusive venue to trade and clear S&P futures contracts. Through CME's acquisition of NEX, it also expanded into cash foreign exchange, fixed-income trading, and collateral optimization.

Market cap 112B · 3,875 employees

Jun 30, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,107 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: METAGray: CME36 of 1,107 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

META leads CME by 6 days

META tends to move before CME.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.737 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.039

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.356

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.687

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

53.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

53.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,107

Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.699, 0.755]

Scatter

XY Regression

-450200400600800810162.2180200220240260280300320321.6Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common StockCME Group Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.728)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,107 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,107

1,254

Normalized

1,107

1,254

Prepared

1,107

1,254

Aligned

1,107

1,107

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

147

A: 0 / B: 147

Series A

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Market cap 1.4T

Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared

Series B

CME logo

CME Group Inc.

CME

Market cap 112B · 3,875 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1093

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

180.6677

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-cme-daily-20260408-5sjjic