Correlation Analysis
McDonald's Corporation vs Oracle Corp
MCD vs ORCL
+0.700
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
McDonald's Corporation
↗MCD
McDonald's is the world's largest restaurant brand, with nearly $139 billion in systemwide sales across more than 45,000 restaurants and over 100 markets. The quick-service chain built its early reputation on speed, consistency, and affordable hamburgers, and today its global menu spans burgers, chicken, breakfast, and beverages that have helped popularize American fast-food cuisine worldwide. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and rent (about 62%), with the remainder stemming from company-operated restaurants across three segments: the United States (39% of systemwide sales), international operated markets (35%), and international developmental/licensed markets (26%).
Market cap 220.6B
Oracle Corp
↗ORCL
Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.
Market cap 418.6B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ORCL leads MCD by 6 days
ORCL tends to move before MCD.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.702 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.178
16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.260
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.736
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
49.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
56.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.671, 0.727]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
McDonald's Corporation
MCD
Market cap 220.6B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Oracle Corp
ORCL
Market cap 418.6B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
38
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.4296
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-268.4442
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-mcd-vs-stock-orcl-daily