Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs U.S. Bancorp
MA vs USB
-0.048
Near-zero inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
U.S. Bancorp
↗USB
With assets of around $695 billion, U.S. Bancorp is one of the largest regional banks in the US with its footprint in 26 states. The bank's branch network is mostly in Midwestern and Western markets. U.S. Bancorp has a comprehensive product set, with offerings in retail and commercial banking, credit cards, mortgages, payment services, trust, wealth, and capital market services.
Market cap 83B · 68,520 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
USB leads MA by 6 days
USB tends to move before MA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.075 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.330
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.170
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.730
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
63.5%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
n.s.
95% CI: [-0.103, 0.007]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
U.S. Bancorp
USB
Market cap 83B · 68,520 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0045
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
48.7671
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-usb-daily