Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
MA vs UAL
+0.842
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
↗UAL
Chicago-based United Airlines is a major US network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel, especially across the Pacific, than its large US peers.
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads UAL by 6 days
MA tends to move before UAL.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.843 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.049
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.767
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.848
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
70.9%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.825, 0.857]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
UAL
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2305
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-39.9323
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Highest
+0.987
VISA Inc.
V · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.898
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.914
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.440
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-ual-daily