Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs Twilio Inc.
MA vs TWLO
-0.215
Light inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Twilio Inc.
↗TWLO
Twilio is a cloud-based communications platform-as-a-service company offering communication building blocks that allow for a fully customized customer engagement experience spanning voice, video, chat, and SMS messaging. It does this through various application programming interfaces and prebuilt solution applications aimed at improving customer engagement. The company leverages its Super Network, a global network of carrier relationships, to facilitate high-speed, cost-effective communication.
Market cap 19.9B · 5,587 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
TWLO leads MA by 6 days
TWLO tends to move before MA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.229 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.219
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.369
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.636
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
4.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.267, -0.162]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Twilio Inc.
TWLO
Market cap 19.9B · 5,587 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
17
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2382
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
229.8212
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-twlo-daily