Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
MA vs TW
+0.880
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗TW
Founded in 1998 and headquartered in New York City, Tradeweb Markets is a leading fixed-income trading platform. While it does offer electronic processing for some voice-negotiated trades, the company focuses primarily on providing electronic trading networks that connect broker/dealers, institutional clients, and retail customers. While the company offers trading in a wide variety of products, the bulk of its business is in US and European government debt, mortgage-backed securities, interest-rate swaps, and US and international corporate bonds. The firm also sells fixed-income trading and price data, primarily through a deal with Refinitiv's Eikon service.
Market cap 26.3B · 1,569 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
MA and TW tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.880 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.225
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.211
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.661
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
77.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.867, 0.892]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
TW
Market cap 26.3B · 1,569 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
15
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2475
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-10.2143
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Highest
+0.987
VISA Inc.
V · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.898
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.892
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.001
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-tw-daily