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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs T Rowe Price Group Inc

MA vs TROW

-0.493

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

TROW logo

T Rowe Price Group Inc

TROW

T. Rowe Price provides asset management services for individual and institutional investors. It offers a broad range of no-load US and international stock, hybrid, bond, and money market funds. At the end of 2025, the firm had $1.776 trillion in managed assets, composed of equity (49%), balanced (36%), fixed-income and money market (12%), and alternative (3%) offerings. Approximately two-thirds of managed assets are held in retirement-based accounts, which provides T. Rowe Price with a somewhat stickier client base than most of its peers. The firm also manages private accounts, provides retirement planning advice, and offers discount brokerage and trust services. The company is primarily a US-based asset manager, deriving less than 10% of its AUM from overseas.

Market cap 19.4B · 7,773 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: TROW36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

TROW leads MA by 6 days

TROW tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.502 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.452

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.311

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.556

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

24.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

67.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.533, -0.449]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.571.980100120140160180200220227.3Mastercard IncorporatedT Rowe Price Group IncData pointsFit (r = -0.493)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

TROW logo

T Rowe Price Group Inc

TROW

Market cap 19.4B · 7,773 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.2003

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

211.7327

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-trow-daily