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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs Steel Dynamics Inc

MA vs STLD

+0.787

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

STLD logo

Steel Dynamics Inc

STLD

Steel Dynamics Inc operates as a domestic steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. The company's product portfolio comprises hot rolled sheet, hot rolled plate, painted sheet products, cold rolled sheet, and others. Its reportable segments are steel operations, metals recycling operations, steel fabrication operations, and aluminum operations. Maximum revenue is generated from its steel operations segment, which consists of manufacturing various steel products and numerous coating operations. Its primary sources of revenue are currently from the manufacture and sale of steel products, the processing and sale of recycled ferrous and nonferrous metals, and the fabrication and sale of steel joists and deck products.

Market cap 25.5B · 14,400 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: STLD36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

MA and STLD tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.787 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.099

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.448

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.741

19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

61.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.765, 0.807]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.539.3406080100120140160180200211.4Mastercard IncorporatedSteel Dynamics IncData pointsFit (r = 0.787)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

STLD logo

Steel Dynamics Inc

STLD

Market cap 25.5B · 14,400 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

43

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3073

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-23.6203

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-stld-daily