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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs Ross Stores Inc

MA vs ROST

+0.787

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

ROST logo

Ross Stores Inc

ROST

Ross Stores, founded in 1982, is a US-focused off-price apparel and home fashion retailer operating more than 2,100 stores across 43 states, primarily under the Ross Dress for Less banner, with a smaller footprint through DD's Discounts. In fiscal 2024, the company generated over $21 billion in sales. Ross offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods at a 20%-60% discount to department and specialty store prices, sourcing closeouts and excess inventory from vendors worldwide.

Market cap 71.3B · 111,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: ROST36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

ROST leads MA by 5 days

ROST tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.788 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.009

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.182

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.821

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

62.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

63.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.765, 0.808]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.571.880100120140160180200220227Mastercard IncorporatedRoss Stores IncData pointsFit (r = 0.787)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ROST logo

Ross Stores Inc

ROST

Market cap 71.3B · 111,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

12

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2604

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

15.0695

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-rost-daily