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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs Raymond James Financial, Inc.

MA vs RJF

+0.902

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

RJF logo

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF

Raymond James Financial is a diversified financial services firm that provides wealth management, investment banking, asset management, and capital markets services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities. The firm maintains an extensive catalogue of products and services across its business lines. However, the wealth management franchise generates the bulk of its revenues and earnings through a vast network of more than 8,900 independent and employee-affiliated advisors, who collectively managed over $1.7 trillion in client assets as of fiscal year-end 2025. While Raymond James maintains a global footprint, the company derives over 90% of its revenue, and an even larger percentage of its operating income, from the United States.

Market cap 27.9B · 3,878 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: RJF36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

MA and RJF tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.902 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.297

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.525

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.652

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

81.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

65.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.892, 0.912]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.578.180100120140160173.3Mastercard IncorporatedRaymond James Financial, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.902)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

RJF logo

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF

Market cap 27.9B · 3,878 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

9

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2775

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-0.1683

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-rjf-daily