Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
MA vs RIVN
-0.481
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗RIVN
Rivian is a battery electric vehicle automaker that sells its vehicles in the US and Canada. The company also develops electronic control units and related software for autos in a joint venture with Volkswagen. Rivian has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include a luxury truck and full-size SUV and a delivery van. The company plans to begin selling a midsize SUV in 2026. Total deliveries were over 42,000 in 2025. Rivian is also developing autonomous driving software to be used in its vehicles.
Market cap 19B · 15,232 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads RIVN by 6 days
MA tends to move before RIVN.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.494 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.290
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.148
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.159
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
23.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,104
Deep shared window — 1,104 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.525, -0.434]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,104 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,104
Normalized
1,254
1,104
Prepared
1,254
1,104
Aligned
1,104
1,104
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
150
A: 150 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
RIVN
Market cap 19B · 15,232 employees
Stock · 1,104 raw → 1,104 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1173
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
75.4736
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Highest
+0.987
VISA Inc.
V · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.898
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.170
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA · 1,104 data points
Lowest
-0.728
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,104 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-rivn-daily