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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs Regions Financial Corp.

MA vs RF

+0.506

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

RF logo

Regions Financial Corp.

RF

Regions Financial is one of the midsized regional banks in the US, with around $160 billion in total assets as of Dec. 30, 2025. Headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, Regions Financial has a footprint mostly in the US Southeast. The bank provides a diversified set of financial services in retail banking, commercial banking, card and treasury management, wealth management, and capital markets.

Market cap 22.8B · 19,969 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: RF36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads RF by 6 days

MA tends to move before RF.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.507 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.008

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.453

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.719

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

25.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

64.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.463, 0.546]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.512.981520253031.02Mastercard IncorporatedRegions Financial Corp.Data pointsFit (r = 0.506)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

RF logo

Regions Financial Corp.

RF

Market cap 22.8B · 19,969 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0180

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

14.0017

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-rf-daily