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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs PG&E Corporation

MA vs PCG

+0.538

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

PCG logo

PG&E Corporation

PCG

PG&E is a holding company whose main subsidiary is Pacific Gas and Electric, a regulated utility operating in Central and Northern California that serves 5.3 million electricity customers and 4.6 million gas customers in 47 of the state's 58 counties. PG&E operated under bankruptcy court supervision in 2001-04 during California's energy crisis and in 2019-20 due to wildfire losses. In 2004, PG&E sold its unregulated assets as part of its first postbankruptcy reorganization.

Market cap 38.8B · 29,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: PCG36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

PCG leads MA by 6 days

PCG tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.545 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.080

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.092

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.667

19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

28.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.497, 0.576]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.58.4510121416182020.98Mastercard IncorporatedPG&E CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.538)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

PCG logo

PG&E Corporation

PCG

Market cap 38.8B · 29,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0187

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

7.0692

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-pcg-daily