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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs ON Semiconductor Corp

MA vs ON

-0.196

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

ON logo

ON Semiconductor Corp

ON

Onsemi is a supplier of power semiconductors and sensors focused on the automotive and industrial markets. Onsemi is the second-largest power chipmaker in the world and the largest supplier of image sensors to the automotive market. While the firm used to be highly vertically integrated, it now pursues a hybrid manufacturing strategy for flexible capacity. Onsemi is pivoting to focus on emerging applications like electric vehicles, autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, and renewable energy.

Market cap 25B · 22,670 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: ON36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads ON by 6 days

MA tends to move before ON.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.213 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.346

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.553

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.824

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

3.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.248, -0.142]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.528.630405060708090100103Mastercard IncorporatedON Semiconductor CorpData pointsFit (r = -0.196)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ON logo

ON Semiconductor Corp

ON

Market cap 25B · 22,670 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

9

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0351

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

78.7250

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-on-daily