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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs Nike, Inc.

MA vs NKE

-0.772

Strong inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

NKE logo

Nike, Inc.

NKE

Nike is the largest athletic footwear and apparel brand in the world. Footwear generates about two-thirds of its sales. Key performance footwear categories include basketball, running, and football (soccer). Its brands include Nike, Jordan (premium athletic footwear and clothing), NikeSkims (women's athleisure), and Converse (casual footwear). Nike sells products worldwide through company-owned stores, franchised stores (including about 5,500 in China), and third-party retailers. The firm also operates e-commerce platforms in more than 40 countries. Nearly all its production is outsourced to contract manufacturers in more than 30 countries. Nike was founded in 1964 and is based in Beaverton, Oregon.

Market cap 65.2B · 77,800 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancialsConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: NKE36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

NKE leads MA by 6 days

NKE tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.779 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.250

8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.253

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.577

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

59.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

67.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.793, -0.748]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.532.8406080100120140160176.2Mastercard IncorporatedNike, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = -0.772)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

NKE logo

Nike, Inc.

NKE

Market cap 65.2B · 77,800 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.2827

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

225.2605

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-nke-daily