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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs NiSource Inc.

MA vs NI

+0.836

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

NI logo

NiSource Inc.

NI

NiSource is one of the nation's largest natural gas distribution companies with 3.2 million customers in Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. NiSource's electric utility transmits and distributes electricity in northern Indiana to about 500,000 customers. The regulated electric utility also owns more than 3,000 megawatts of generation capacity, including coal, natural gas, and renewable energy.

Market cap 22.6B · 7,738 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: NI36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads NI by 6 days

MA tends to move before NI.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.841 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.017

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.218

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.795

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

69.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.818, 0.852]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.522.77253035404549.49Mastercard IncorporatedNiSource Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.836)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

NI logo

NiSource Inc.

NI

Market cap 22.6B · 7,738 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0634

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

4.0577

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-ni-daily