Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
MA vs MSTR
+0.876
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
↗MSTR
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury company and a provider of business intelligence services. It is designed to provide investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed-income instruments. The company also provides industry AI-powered enterprise analytics software. It has one reportable operating segment: the Software Business, which is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of the company's enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services (i.e., product support, consulting, and education). Geographically, the company operates in EMEA, U.S. and Other Regions, of which maximum revenue is derived from U.S..
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MSTR leads MA by 6 days
MSTR tends to move before MA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.879 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.057
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.301
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.562
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
76.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.862, 0.888]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
MSTR
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
60
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.2475
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-411.3348
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Highest
+0.987
VISA Inc.
V · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.898
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Highest
+0.903
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.071
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-mstr-daily