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Correlation Analysis

Mastercard Incorporated vs Morgan Stanley

MA vs MS

+0.803

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

MS logo

Morgan Stanley

MS

Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of its most recent fiscal year. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.

Market cap 263.4B · 83,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancialsFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MAGray: MS36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads MS by 6 days

MA tends to move before MS.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.807 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.785

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.724

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.812

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

64.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

64.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.782, 0.821]

Scatter

XY Regression

308.1350400450500550599.562.180100120140160180185.5Mastercard IncorporatedMorgan StanleyData pointsFit (r = 0.803)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MS logo

Morgan Stanley

MS

Market cap 263.4B · 83,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2653

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-8.2003

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-ms-daily