Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs Marriott International Class A Common Stock
MA vs MAR
+0.909
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Marriott International Class A Common Stock
↗MAR
Marriott operates 1.8 million rooms across roughly 30 brands. At the end of 2025, luxury represented roughly 10% of total rooms, premium was 42%, select service was 46%, and midscale was 2%. Marriott, Courtyard, and Sheraton are the largest brands, while Autograph, Tribute, Moxy, Aloft, and Element are newer lifestyle brands. Managed and franchised represented 99% of total rooms as of Dec. 31, 2025. North America makes up 61% of total rooms. Managed, franchise, and incentive fees represent the vast majority of revenue and profitability for the company.
Market cap 89.5B · 414,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
MA and MAR tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.909 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.513
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.788
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.924
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
82.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
65.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.899, 0.918]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Marriott International Class A Common Stock
MAR
Market cap 89.5B · 414,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
35
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.6000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-48.1794
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Highest
+0.987
VISA Inc.
V · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.898
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
MAR
Marriott International Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.939
Nvidia Corp
NVDA · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.335
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-mar-daily