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Correlation Analysis

Southwest Airlines Co. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

LUV vs XOM

-0.616

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

LUV logo

Southwest Airlines Co.

LUV

Southwest Airlines is the largest domestic air carrier in the United States by passengers boarded. Southwest operates nearly 800 aircraft in an all-Boeing 737 fleet. Despite offering some longer routes and a few perks for business travelers, the airline predominantly specializes in short-haul, leisure flights operated with a simple cabin configuration in a point-to-point network. In early 2026, Southwest modified its cabins to offer some rows with extra legroom, its ticketing process and merchandising to offer assigned seats, and more fare categories to include a basic economy class that appears for the first time in travel aggregators' search results and more directly competes with other airlines' offerings.

Market cap 18.7B · 77,397 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: LUVGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads LUV by 6 days

XOM tends to move before LUV.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.637 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.333

9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.281

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.696

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

38.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

55.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.649, -0.581]

Scatter

XY Regression

19.2203040506066.745.26080100120140160172.7Southwest Airlines Co.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.616)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

LUV logo

Southwest Airlines Co.

LUV

Market cap 18.7B · 77,397 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-1.5492

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

158.2491

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-luv-vs-stock-xom-daily