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Correlation Analysis

Lockheed Martin Corp. vs Mastercard Incorporated

LMT vs MA

+0.520

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

LMT logo

Lockheed Martin Corp.

LMT

Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor and has dominated the Western market for high-end fighter aircraft since it won the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program in 2001. Aeronautics is Lockheed's largest segment, which derives upward of two-thirds of its revenue from the F-35. Lockheed's remaining segments are rotary and mission systems, mainly encompassing the Sikorsky helicopter business; missiles and fire control, which creates missiles and missile defense systems; and space systems, which produces satellites and receives equity income from the United Launch Alliance joint venture.

Market cap 147B · 123,000 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockIndustrialsFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: LMTGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

LMT leads MA by 6 days

LMT tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.521 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.325

9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.305

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.684

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

27.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

56.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.479, 0.560]

Scatter

XY Regression

306.4350400450500550600650661.9308.1350400450500550599.5Lockheed Martin Corp.Mastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.52)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

LMT logo

Lockheed Martin Corp.

LMT

Market cap 147B · 123,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

31

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.6878

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

118.9510

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-lmt-vs-stock-ma-daily