Correlation Analysis
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. vs Mastercard Incorporated
KDP vs MA
-0.629
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
↗KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper was established in 2018 following a merger between Keurig Green Mountain Coffee and Dr Pepper Snapple. The company manufactures and distributes coffee systems (including coffee brewers and single-serve coffee pods) under the Keurig and Green Mountain brands, as well as ready-to-drink beverages including flavored (non-cola) sparkling soft drinks under well-known brands such as Dr Pepper, Snapple, and Canada Dry. On Aug. 25, 2025, the firm announced a definitive agreement to acquire coffeemaker JDE Peet's for $18 billion in cash, with the deal now scheduled to close in April 2026. Following the merger, it plans to split into two US-listed entities to focus on refreshment beverages in North America and global coffee separately.
Market cap 34.9B · 30,600 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads KDP by 6 days
MA tends to move before KDP.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.643 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.615
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.431
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.582
23 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
39.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
59.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.662, -0.595]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
KDP
Market cap 34.9B · 30,600 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-16.9057
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
1001.2953
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-kdp-vs-stock-ma-daily