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Correlation Analysis

JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs Vistra Corp.

JPM vs VST

+0.956

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with more than $4.4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments: consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates and is subject to regulation in multiple countries.

Market cap 792.5B

VST logo

Vistra Corp.

VST

Vistra Corp. is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the USA. It owns 44 gigawatts of generation capacity, including natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.4 GW). The Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Vistra's retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016.

Market cap 51.3B · 6,390 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JPMGray: VST36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

VST leads JPM by 6 days

VST tends to move before JPM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.957 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.499

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.976

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.573

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

91.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.951, 0.960]

Scatter

XY Regression

98.3100150200250300333.4150100150200224.6JPMorgan Chase & Co.Vistra Corp.Data pointsFit (r = 0.956)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

Market cap 792.5B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

VST logo

Vistra Corp.

VST

Market cap 51.3B · 6,390 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

50

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.9689

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-111.4755

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-jpm-vs-stock-vst-daily