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Correlation Analysis

JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs M&T Bank Corp.

JPM vs MTB

+0.679

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with more than $4.4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments: consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates and is subject to regulation in multiple countries.

Market cap 792.5B

MTB logo

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB

M&T Bank is a US regional bank with around $213 billion in assets as of Dec. 30, 2025. Headquartered in Buffalo, New York, the bank's footprint is mostly concentrated in New England and the US Mid-Atlantic. M&T Bank boasts a community banking approach, and boasts over 900 branches in 13 states and Washington, D.C. Apart from retail and commercial banking, M&T Bank also has wealth management operations through Wilmington Trust and a partnership with LPL Financial, and a corporate trust business.

Market cap 31.5B · 22,278 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JPMGray: MTB36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

JPM and MTB tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.679 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.222

18 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.517

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.839

8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

46.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

75.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.648, 0.707]

Scatter

XY Regression

98.3100150200250300333.4102.5120140160180200220240240.9JPMorgan Chase & Co.M&T Bank Corp.Data pointsFit (r = 0.679)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

Market cap 792.5B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MTB logo

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB

Market cap 31.5B · 22,278 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

21

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2951

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

107.5885

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-jpm-vs-stock-mtb-daily