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Correlation Analysis

JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs Mastercard Incorporated

JPM vs MA

+0.938

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with more than $4.4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments: consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates and is subject to regulation in multiple countries.

Market cap 792.5B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancialsFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JPMGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads JPM by 6 days

MA tends to move before JPM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.939 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.765

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.725

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.769

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

88.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

63.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.931, 0.944]

Scatter

XY Regression

98.3100150200250300333.4308.1350400450500550599.5JPMorgan Chase & Co.Mastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.938)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

Market cap 792.5B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

52

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.2796

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

188.1450

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-jpm-vs-stock-ma-daily