Correlation Analysis
Johnson & Johnson vs Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
JNJ vs ULTA
+0.574
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Johnson & Johnson
↗JNJ
Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.
Market cap 580.4B
Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
↗ULTA
Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the US with more than 1,500 freestanding stores. The firm offers cosmetics (38% of 2025 sales), fragrances (13%), skin care (24%), and hair care products (19%). It also has salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow, that account for 4% of its revenue and drive customer traffic. Outside of the US, Ulta operates premium beauty retailer Space NK (86 stores at year-end 2025 in the UK and Ireland) and has franchised stores in Mexico, and a joint venture in the Middle East. In addition, Ulta collects royalties through its Target partnership (ending in summer 2026) and credit card revenue. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Market cap 23.7B · 65,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ULTA leads JNJ by 6 days
ULTA tends to move before JNJ.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.581 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.337
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.312
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.850
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
32.9%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
54.2%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.535, 0.610]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
Market cap 580.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
ULTA
Market cap 23.7B · 65,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
27
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
2.3558
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
39.7522
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
Highest
+0.943
Sandisk Corporation Common Stock
SNDK · 281 data points
Lowest
-0.621
Kimberly-Clark Corp.
KMB · 1,254 data points
ULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.639
Micron Technology, Inc.
MU · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.198
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-jnj-vs-stock-ulta-daily