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Correlation Analysis

Johnson & Johnson vs Merck & Co., Inc.

JNJ vs MRK

+0.018

Near-zero positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.

Market cap 580.4B

MRK logo

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK

Merck makes pharmaceutical products to treat several conditions in a number of therapeutic areas, including cardiometabolic disease, cancer, and infections. Within cancer, the firm's immuno-oncology platform, led by Keytruda, is a major contributor to overall sales. The company also has a substantial vaccine business aimed at preventing pediatric diseases, as well as Gardasil for human papillomavirus. Additionally, Merck sells animal health-related drugs. From a geographical perspective, 47% of the company's sales are generated from US human health (pharmaceuticals and vaccines).

Market cap 298.8B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcareHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JNJGray: MRK36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MRK leads JNJ by 6 days

MRK tends to move before JNJ.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.025 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.397

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.109

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.672

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

66.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

n.s.

95% CI: [-0.037, 0.073]

Scatter

XY Regression

135.5140160180200220240252.669.1708090100110120130132.4Johnson & JohnsonMerck & Co., Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.018)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Market cap 580.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MRK logo

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK

Market cap 298.8B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

12

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0154

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

95.6367

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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