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Correlation Analysis

International Paper Co. vs Mastercard Incorporated

IP vs MA

+0.189

Weak positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

IP logo

International Paper Co.

IP

International Paper manufactures packaging products and cellulose fibers. It accounts for roughly one-third of the North American corrugated packaging market. The company also has a substantial presence in Europe following its acquisition of DS Smith. International Paper serves a variety of end markets, including industrial, consumer products, and manufacturing.

Market cap 18.5B · 62,602 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: IPGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads IP by 6 days

MA tends to move before IP.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.194 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.021

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.122

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.653

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

3.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.135, 0.242]

Scatter

XY Regression

283040506066.5308.1350400450500550599.5International Paper Co.Mastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.189)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

IP logo

International Paper Co.

IP

Market cap 18.5B · 62,602 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.9002

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

348.1835

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ip-vs-stock-ma-daily