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Correlation Analysis

Intel Corp vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

INTC vs XOM

-0.586

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

INTC logo

Intel Corp

INTC

Intel is a leading digital chipmaker focused on designing and manufacturing microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors and led the semiconductor industry down the path of Moore's law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing. Intel remains the market share leader in central processing units in both the PC and server end markets. The company is seeking to reinvigorate its chip manufacturing business, Intel Foundry, while developing leading-edge products in its Intel Products business segment.

Market cap 255B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnologyEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: INTCGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads INTC by 6 days

XOM tends to move before INTC.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.607 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.234

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.081

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.567

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

34.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.621, -0.548]

Scatter

XY Regression

15.120304050607072.245.26080100120140160172.7Intel CorpExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.586)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

INTC logo

Intel Corp

INTC

Market cap 255B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

11

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-1.1317

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

142.6500

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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