Correlation Analysis
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
ICE vs WMT
+0.862
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
↗ICE
Intercontinental Exchange is a vertically integrated operator of financial exchanges and provides ancillary data products. Though the company is probably best known for its ownership of the New York Stock Exchange, which it acquired in 2013, ICE operates a large derivatives exchange, too. The company's largest commodity futures product is the ICE Brent crude futures contract. In addition to the exchanges business, which is about 54% of net revenue, Intercontinental Exchange has used a series of acquisitions to create its mortgage technology business (22% of net revenue) and fixed-income and data-services segment (24% of net revenue).
Market cap 94.2B · 12,844 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ICE leads WMT by 6 days
ICE tends to move before WMT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.864 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.578
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.396
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.658
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
74.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
59.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.848, 0.876]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
ICE
Market cap 94.2B · 12,844 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
19
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.8203
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-42.3664
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
Highest
+0.928
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.188
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ice-vs-stock-wmt-daily