Correlation Analysis
International Business Machines Corporation vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
IBM vs XOM
+0.583
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
International Business Machines Corporation
↗IBM
Incorporated in 1911, International Business Machines, or IBM, is one of the oldest technology companies in the world. It provides software, IT consulting services, and hardware to help business customers modernize their technology workflows. IBM operates in 175 countries and employs approximately 300,000 people. The company has a robust roster of business partners to service its clients, which includes 95% of all Fortune 500 companies. IBMs products, including Red Hat, watsonx, and mainframes, handle some of the worlds most important data workloads in areas like finance and retail.
Market cap 231.5B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
IBM leads XOM by 6 days
IBM tends to move before XOM.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.588 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.579
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.138
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.818
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
34.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.545, 0.619]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM
Market cap 231.5B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
31
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2250
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
60.9447
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
Highest
+0.956
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.356
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-ibm-vs-stock-xom-daily