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Correlation Analysis

HP Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

HPQ vs XOM

-0.404

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

HPQ logo

HP Inc.

HPQ

HP (formerly Hewlett-Packard) is a behemoth in the PC and printing markets. It has focused on these markets since it exited IT infrastructure in 2015 with the split from Hewlett Packard Enterprise. HP focuses on the commercial market, but maintains sales of consumer devices and printers. The firm has a broad and global customer base, with only one third of sales coming from the US. HP completely outsources manufacturing and relies heavily on channel partners for its sales and marketing.

Market cap 17.3B · 55,000 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: HPQGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

HPQ and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.404 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.382

8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.231

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.612

19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

16.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

61.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.449, -0.356]

Scatter

XY Regression

17.112025303538.8845.26080100120140160172.7HP Inc.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.404)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

HPQ logo

HP Inc.

HPQ

Market cap 17.3B · 55,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

9

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-1.9399

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

159.9755

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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