Correlation Analysis
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
HLT vs XOM
+0.681
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
↗HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 1.35 million rooms across its 25 brands, serving the premium economy through luxury segments. Hampton and Hilton are the two largest brands, representing 27% and 18%, respectively, of the company's total rooms, as of Dec. 31, 2025. Recent brands launched over the past few years include Home2, Curio, Canopy, Spark, Tru, Tempo, LivSmart, and Outset. Additionally, there is a partnership with Small Luxury Hotels of the World and acquisitions of NoMad and Graduate Hotels. Managed and franchised hotels represent the vast majority of adjusted EBITDA, predominantly from the Americas.
Market cap 70.2B · 182,000 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
HLT and XOM tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.681 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.292
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.224
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.554
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
46.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
59.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.650, 0.710]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
HLT
Market cap 70.2B · 182,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2627
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
52.3161
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Highest
+0.965
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.367
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-hlt-vs-stock-xom-daily