Correlation Analysis
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. vs NetFlix Inc
HLT vs NFLX
+0.860
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
↗HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 1.35 million rooms across its 25 brands, serving the premium economy through luxury segments. Hampton and Hilton are the two largest brands, representing 27% and 18%, respectively, of the company's total rooms, as of Dec. 31, 2025. Recent brands launched over the past few years include Home2, Curio, Canopy, Spark, Tru, Tempo, LivSmart, and Outset. Additionally, there is a partnership with Small Luxury Hotels of the World and acquisitions of NoMad and Graduate Hotels. Managed and franchised hotels represent the vast majority of adjusted EBITDA, predominantly from the Americas.
Market cap 70.2B · 182,000 employees
NetFlix Inc
↗NFLX
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Market cap 417.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
NFLX leads HLT by 6 days
NFLX tends to move before HLT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.861 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.685
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.334
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.828
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
74.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.845, 0.874]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
HLT
Market cap 70.2B · 182,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
NetFlix Inc
NFLX
Market cap 417.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.4511
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-22.5308
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Highest
+0.965
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.367
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-hlt-vs-stock-nflx-daily