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Correlation Analysis

HCA Healthcare, Inc. vs Mastercard Incorporated

HCA vs MA

+0.840

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

HCA logo

HCA Healthcare, Inc.

HCA

HCA Healthcare is a Nashville-based healthcare provider organization operating the largest collection of acute-care hospitals in the United States. As of December 2025, the firm owned and operated 190 hospitals and over 2,500 outpatient facillities across 19 states and a small foothold in the United Kingdom.

Market cap 108.2B · 320,000 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcareFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: HCAGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads HCA by 6 days

MA tends to move before HCA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.842 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.644

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.360

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.594

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

70.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

62.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.823, 0.855]

Scatter

XY Regression

150200300400500564308.1350400450500550599.5HCA Healthcare, Inc.Mastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.84)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

HCA logo

HCA Healthcare, Inc.

HCA

Market cap 108.2B · 320,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

23

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.8525

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

174.9593

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-hca-vs-stock-ma-daily