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Correlation Analysis

Halliburton Company vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

HAL vs WMT

-0.241

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

HAL logo

Halliburton Company

HAL

Halliburton is North America's largest oilfield-services company as measured by market share. Despite industry fragmentation, it holds a leading position in the hydraulic fracturing and completions market, which makes up nearly half of its revenue. It also holds strong positions in other service offerings like drilling and completions fluids, which leverages its expertise in material science, as well as the directional drilling market. While we consider SLB the global leader in reservoir evaluation, we think Halliburton leads in any activity from the reservoir to the wellbore. Halliburton's innovations have helped multiple producers lower their development costs per barrel of oil equivalent, with techniques that have been honed over a century of operations.

Market cap 31.6B · 46,000 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergyConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: HALGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

HAL leads WMT by 6 days

HAL tends to move before WMT.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.258 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.031

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.976

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.417

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

5.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

52.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.293, -0.188]

Scatter

XY Regression

17.79202530354043.0634.7406080100120140141Halliburton CompanyWalmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.241)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

HAL logo

Halliburton Company

HAL

Market cap 31.6B · 46,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.9079

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

94.4202

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-hal-vs-stock-wmt-daily