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Correlation Analysis

W.W. Grainger, Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

GWW vs XOM

+0.779

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

GWW logo

W.W. Grainger, Inc.

GWW

Founded in 1927, W.W. Grainger originally distributed various motors via a mail-order catalogue. Over the course of the 20th century, the firm expanded into new industrial product categories and launched its first digital catalogue in 1995. Today, the company organizes itself into two segments focused on different customer bases. Its larger segment, high-touch solutions, offers a vast array of maintenance, repair, and operations, or MRO, supplies and bespoke inventory management services to larger businesses. Its smaller segment, endless assortment, operates two online platforms, Zoro and MonotaRO, that offer comprehensive catalogues of MRO supplies to smaller businesses. Grainger has operations throughout the world but primarily generates sales within the US.

Market cap 52.9B · 25,000 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: GWWGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads GWW by 6 days

XOM tends to move before GWW.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.779 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.066

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.084

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.587

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

60.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.756, 0.800]

Scatter

XY Regression

3444006008001,0001,17445.26080100120140160172.7W.W. Grainger, Inc.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.779)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

GWW logo

W.W. Grainger, Inc.

GWW

Market cap 52.9B · 25,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

3

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0712

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

46.6998

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-gww-vs-stock-xom-daily