Correlation Analysis
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock vs The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
GOOG vs EL
-0.571
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock
↗GOOG
Alphabet is a holding company that wholly owns internet giant Google. The California-based company derives slightly less than 90% of its revenue from Google services, the vast majority of which is advertising sales. Alongside online ads, Google services houses sales stemming from Google's subscription services (YouTube TV and YouTube Music, among others), platforms (sales and in-app purchases on Play Store), and devices (Chromebooks, Pixel smartphones, and smart home products such as Chromecast). Google's cloud computing platform accounts for roughly 10% of Alphabet's revenue. The firm's investments in up-and-coming technologies such as self-driving cars (Waymo), health (Verily), and internet access (Google Fiber) make up the rest.
Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
↗EL
Estée Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (49% of fiscal 2025 sales), makeup (29%), fragrance (17%), and hair care and others (5%). Top-selling brands include Estée Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 31% of revenue from the Americas, 37% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 32% from Asia-Pacific. Estée Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.
Market cap 25.7B · 57,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
EL leads GOOG by 6 days
EL tends to move before GOOG.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.572 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.375
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.008
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.512
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
32.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
65.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.607, -0.532]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock
GOOG
Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
EL
Market cap 25.7B · 57,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.9194
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
327.3013
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
GOOG
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock
Highest
+0.948
Amphenol Corporation
APH · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.861
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
FISV · 644 observations
EL
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A
Highest
-0.029
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.912
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-goog-vs-stock-el-daily-20260408-8zkzhw