Correlation Analysis
Fifth Third Bancorp vs Mastercard Incorporated
FITB vs MA
+0.444
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Fifth Third Bancorp
↗FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp is a midsize regional bank in the US, with total assets of over $210 billion as of December 2025. The bank is set to close its acquisition of Comercia on Feb. 1, 2026. Headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Fifth Third has a strong presence in the US Midwest and is currently expanding in the US Southeast. The bank provides a diversified set of financial services in retail banking, commercial banking, card and Treasury management, wealth and asset management, and capital markets.
Market cap 43.1B · 18,676 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads FITB by 6 days
MA tends to move before FITB.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.446 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.111
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.348
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.799
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
19.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.399, 0.488]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Fifth Third Bancorp
FITB
Market cap 43.1B · 18,676 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
5.6266
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
217.6022
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-fitb-vs-stock-ma-daily