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Correlation Analysis

Fair Isaac Corporation vs Mastercard Incorporated

FICO vs MA

+0.906

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

FICO logo

Fair Isaac Corporation

FICO

Founded in 1956, Fair Isaac Corporation is a leading applied analytics company. Fair Isaac is primarily known for its FICO credit scores, which is a widely used industry benchmark to determine the creditworthiness of an individual consumer. The firm's US-centric credit scores business accounts for most of the firm's revenue and profits and consists of business-to-business and business-to-consumer services. In addition to scores, Fair Isaac also sells software primarily to financial institutions for areas such as analytics, decision-making, customer workflows, and fraud.

Market cap 26B · 3,762 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: FICOGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

FICO leads MA by 6 days

FICO tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.911 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.315

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.444

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.693

9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

82.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

64.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.895, 0.915]

Scatter

XY Regression

2695001,0001,5002,0002,176308.1350400450500550599.5Fair Isaac CorporationMastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.906)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

FICO logo

Fair Isaac Corporation

FICO

Market cap 26B · 3,762 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

6

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1344

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

289.4169

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-fico-vs-stock-ma-daily