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Correlation Analysis

Exelon Corporation vs Mastercard Incorporated

EXC vs MA

-0.158

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

EXC logo

Exelon Corporation

EXC

Exelon serves approximately 10 million power and gas customers at its six regulated utilities in Illinois, Pennsylvania, Maryland, New Jersey, Delaware, and Washington, D.C.

Market cap 50.1B · 20,571 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: EXCGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

EXC leads MA by 6 days

EXC tends to move before MA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.178 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.473

8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.429

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.567

22 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

2.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.211, -0.103]

Scatter

XY Regression

32.58354045505555.98308.1350400450500550599.5Exelon CorporationMastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = -0.158)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

EXC logo

Exelon Corporation

EXC

Market cap 50.1B · 20,571 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-2.7998

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

552.4396

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-exc-vs-stock-ma-daily