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Correlation Analysis

EMCOR Group, Inc. vs Mastercard Incorporated

EME vs MA

+0.910

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

EME logo

EMCOR Group, Inc.

EME

EMCOR Group Inc is a specialty contractor in the United States and a provider of electrical and mechanical construction and facilities services, building services, and industrial services. Its services are provided to a broad range of commercial, technology, manufacturing, industrial, healthcare, utility, and institutional customers through approximately 100 operating subsidiaries. The company's operating subsidiaries are organized into reportable segments: United States mechanical construction and facilities services, which derives key revenue; United States electrical construction and facilities services; United States building services; United States industrial services; and United Kingdom building services. Geographically, its key revenue is derived from the United States.

Market cap 33.7B · 44,000 employees

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.

Market cap 447.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: EMEGray: MA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MA leads EME by 6 days

MA tends to move before EME.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.915 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.417

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.848

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.711

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

82.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.900, 0.919]

Scatter

XY Regression

51200400600800837308.1350400450500550599.5EMCOR Group, Inc.Mastercard IncorporatedData pointsFit (r = 0.91)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

EME logo

EMCOR Group, Inc.

EME

Market cap 33.7B · 44,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MA logo

Mastercard Incorporated

MA

Market cap 447.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

11

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3950

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

314.3471

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-eme-vs-stock-ma-daily