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Correlation Analysis

eBay Inc vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

EBAY vs WMT

+0.760

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

EBAY logo

eBay Inc

EBAY

EBay operates one of the largest e-commerce marketplaces in the world, with $79.6 billion in 2025 gross merchandise volume, rendering the firm a top 10 global e-commerce company. It generates sales from listing fees, advertising, revenue-sharing arrangements with service providers, and managed payments, with its platform connecting about 135 million buyers and roughly 20 million sellers across almost 190 global markets at the end of 2025. EBay generates just north of 50% of its GMV in international markets, with a large presence in the UK, Germany, and Australia.

Market cap 43.8B · 12,300 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: EBAYGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

WMT leads EBAY by 6 days

WMT tends to move before EBAY.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.763 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.028

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.009

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.665

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

57.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.735, 0.782]

Scatter

XY Regression

34.1405060708090100100.634.7406080100120140141eBay IncWalmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = 0.76)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

EBAY logo

eBay Inc

EBAY

Market cap 43.8B · 12,300 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

31

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.1572

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-2.6583

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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