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Correlation Analysis

Darden Restaurants, Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

DRI vs XOM

+0.521

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

DRI logo

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

DRI

Darden Restaurants is the largest global full-service dining operator, with over $12 billion in system sales across 2,159 company-owned stores at the end of fiscal 2025, spanning the US and Canada. The firm operates 10 banners in four segments, including Olive Garden (43% of sales), LongHorn Steakhouse (25%), and fine dining (21%), which includes The Capital Grille, Ruth's Chris, and Eddie V's. The other 11% of sales comes from smaller concepts such as Yard House and Cheddar's. Darden primarily generates revenue through sales of food and beverage items at its company-owned restaurants. It also earns royalties on sales from 154 franchised locations in US and international markets, which sit within the other segment but are immaterial to consolidated results.

Market cap 22.5B · 197,924 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: DRIGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

DRI leads XOM by 1 day

DRI tends to move before XOM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.522 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.871

9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.350

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.599

20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

27.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

56.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.480, 0.561]

Scatter

XY Regression

114.5120140160180200220221.145.26080100120140160172.7Darden Restaurants, Inc.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.521)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

DRI logo

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

DRI

Market cap 22.5B · 197,924 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

35

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.4481

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

29.5359

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-dri-vs-stock-xom-daily