Correlation Analysis
Darden Restaurants, Inc. vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
DRI vs WMT
+0.867
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Darden Restaurants, Inc.
↗DRI
Darden Restaurants is the largest global full-service dining operator, with over $12 billion in system sales across 2,159 company-owned stores at the end of fiscal 2025, spanning the US and Canada. The firm operates 10 banners in four segments, including Olive Garden (43% of sales), LongHorn Steakhouse (25%), and fine dining (21%), which includes The Capital Grille, Ruth's Chris, and Eddie V's. The other 11% of sales comes from smaller concepts such as Yard House and Cheddar's. Darden primarily generates revenue through sales of food and beverage items at its company-owned restaurants. It also earns royalties on sales from 154 franchised locations in US and international markets, which sit within the other segment but are immaterial to consolidated results.
Market cap 22.5B · 197,924 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
DRI and WMT tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.867 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.739
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.069
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.557
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
75.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.853, 0.881]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Darden Restaurants, Inc.
DRI
Market cap 22.5B · 197,924 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
63
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.8241
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-65.5639
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
DRI
Darden Restaurants, Inc.
Highest
+0.906
VISA Inc.
V · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.266
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-dri-vs-stock-wmt-daily