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Correlation Analysis

Carpenter Technology Corp vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

CRS vs WMT

+0.980

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

CRS logo

Carpenter Technology Corp

CRS

Carpenter Technology Corp supplies specialty metals to a variety of end markets, including aerospace and defense, industrial machinery and consumer durables, medical, and energy, among others. The company's reportable segments include; Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. It generates maximum revenue from the Specialty Alloys Operations segment. The SAO segment is comprised of the company's alloy and stainless steel manufacturing operations. This includes operations performed at mills predominantly in Reading and Latrobe, Pennsylvania, and surrounding areas as well as South Carolina and Alabama. Geographically, the company derives its maximum revenue from the United States and the rest from Europe, Asia Pacific, Mexico, Canada, and other regions.

Market cap 19.7B · 4,500 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: CRSGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

WMT leads CRS by 6 days

WMT tends to move before CRS.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.980 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.377

20 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.886

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.690

10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

95.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

53.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.977, 0.982]

Scatter

XY Regression

010020030040042334.7406080100120140141Carpenter Technology CorpWalmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = 0.98)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

CRS logo

Carpenter Technology Corp

CRS

Market cap 19.7B · 4,500 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2380

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

39.4225

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-crs-vs-stock-wmt-daily