Correlation Analysis
Circle Internet Group, Inc. vs Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
CRCL vs TSLA
-0.624
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Circle Internet Group, Inc.
↗CRCL
Circle Internet Group Inc is a financial technology firm engaged in digital currencies and public blockchains for payments, commerce, and financial applications. The company's platform is a full-stack, internet financial platform business, organized around three pillars: Arc Blockchain and Developer Infrastructure, Circle Digital Assets and Services, and Circle Applications.
Market cap 22.8B · 1,100 employees
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
↗TSLA
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.
Market cap 1.3T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
TSLA leads CRCL by 6 days
TSLA tends to move before CRCL.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.717 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.186
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.039
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.548
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
39.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
210
Usable shared window — 210 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.701, -0.534]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
210 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
210
1,254
Normalized
210
1,254
Prepared
210
1,254
Aligned
210
210
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,044
A: 0 / B: 1044
Series A
Circle Internet Group, Inc.
CRCL
Market cap 22.8B · 1,100 employees
Stock · 210 raw → 210 prepared
Series B
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA
Market cap 1.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.7499
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
482.7745
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
CRCL
Circle Internet Group, Inc.
Highest
+0.767
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 210 data points
Lowest
-0.761
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY · 210 data points
TSLA
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.870
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT · 512 data points
Lowest
-0.817
Elevance Health, Inc.
ELV · 947 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-crcl-vs-stock-tsla-daily