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Correlation Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corp vs Waste Management, Inc.

COST vs WM

+0.969

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.

Market cap 451.9B

WM logo

Waste Management, Inc.

WM

WM, previously known as Waste Management, ranks as the largest integrated provider of traditional solid waste services in the United States, operating 257 active landfill sites and about 342 transfer stations that help with transporting waste efficiently and economically. The company serves residential, commercial, industrial, and medical end markets for waste collection, transfer, and disposal. The company also has an energy business emanating from the beneficial use of landfill gas and is a leading recycler in North America.

Market cap 94.2B · 60,500 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumerIndustrials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COSTGray: WM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

COST and WM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.969 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.369

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.949

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.622

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

94.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

64.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.966, 0.972]

Scatter

XY Regression

3064006008001,0001,134126.5140160180200220240245.3Costco Wholesale CorpWaste Management, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.969)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Market cap 451.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WM logo

Waste Management, Inc.

WM

Market cap 94.2B · 60,500 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1432

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

86.6062

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-wm-daily