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Correlation Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corp vs Waste Connections, Inc.

COST vs WCN

+0.951

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.

Market cap 451.9B

WCN logo

Waste Connections, Inc.

WCN

Waste Connections is a North American waste management company focused on integrated waste collection services. The firm primarily focuses on residential, commercial, municipal, and industrial waste collection, with a secondary market focus on rural areas. With 113 landfills and 222 transfer stations as of 2024, it is the third-largest waste management company by revenue. Revenue is split among six operating segments: Western, Southern, Eastern, Central, Canada, and Midsouth.

Market cap 42.2B · 24,214 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COSTGray: WCN36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

COST and WCN tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.951 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.325

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.091

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.761

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

90.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

65.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.945, 0.956]

Scatter

XY Regression

3064006008001,0001,134108120140160180200202Costco Wholesale CorpWaste Connections, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.951)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

Market cap 451.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WCN logo

Waste Connections, Inc.

WCN

Market cap 42.2B · 24,214 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1057

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

80.4622

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-cost-vs-stock-wcn-daily